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ROSEHILL

R1 12:40 PM R2 1:15 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 7

4:20 PM
1100m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st SHROPSHIRE LAD
2nd JELLICIOUS โญ Best Bet
3rd TICKLEBELLY ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
4th XPRESSO
ใ€ฐ๏ธ Best Bet placed โ€” JELLICIOUS ran a place (win bet missed)
โœ… Saver placed โ€” TICKLEBELLY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
JELLICIOUS W $1.80
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
2
TICKLEBELLY P $1.55
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. JELLICIOUS FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.80 $1.12 $2.85
2. TICKLEBELLY 9 $6.00 $1.55 $7.37
5. LOS PADRES 4 $8.00 $1.95 $8.17
7. SHROPSHIRE LAD 5 $8.50 $2.05 $8.58
10. APACHE BREEZE 8 $8.00 $2.00 $9.39
3. XPRESSO 10 $15.00 $2.80 $12.08
8. TAI LUNG 7 $31.00 $4.20 $18.48
11. LADY SHENANIGANS 1 $61.00 $5.50 $32.61
Favourite record at ROSEHILL โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00โ€“2.49 45% 95% 20*
2.50โ€“3.49 40% 71% 42*
3.50โ€“4.99 5% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.