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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:40 PM R2 1:15 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:55 PM

Race 2

1:15 PM
1250m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st BANG ON TIME (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd GET LITT
3rd PINK PERSUASION 💡 Saver
4th STREET FORCE
✅ Best Bet won — BANG ON TIME (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — PINK PERSUASION ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BANG ON TIME (NZ) W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
PINK PERSUASION P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BANG ON TIME (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.80 $1.12 $2.61
9. PINK PERSUASION 9 $3.60 $1.30 $5.38
7. LE SMOKE (NZ) 10 $9.50 $2.15 $9.09
10. QUEEN OF RUSSIA 3 $13.00 $2.45 $10.77
14. GET LITT 6 $19.00 $3.40 $15.00
8. OUR LADY PEACE 7 $18.00 $3.20 $16.79
3. SANS EGAL 1 $61.00 $5.50 $33.74
12. STREET FORCE 8 $61.00 $5.50 $33.81
11. RISING QUEEN 2 $81.00 $6.50 $46.38
13. PIETIERO 4 $101.00 $7.00 $47.94
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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