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ROCKHAMPTON

R1 10:00 AM R2 10:35 AM R3 11:10 AM R4 11:42 AM R5 12:18 PM R6 12:51 PM R7 1:23 PM R8 2:00 PM

Race 8

2:00 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st LONERGY
2nd TEN CARAT LUCY ⭐ Best Bet
3rd LITTLE PINKER
4th BOLD CHANGE
〰️ Best Bet placed — TEN CARAT LUCY ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
11
TEN CARAT LUCY W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
BETTER THAN WORDS P $1.70
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. TEN CARAT LUCY FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.95 $1.18 $2.98
1. BETTER THAN WORDS 4 $6.00 $1.70 $7.00
6. BOLD CHANGE 6 $6.00 $1.75 $7.16
9. LITTLE PINKER 12 $8.00 $2.15 $9.05
3. LONERGY 3 $14.00 $2.90 $12.39
5. THE LAST SAGA 11 $21.00 $3.70 $16.54
7. HARD TO DISMISS 5 $41.00 $5.50 $26.75
10. OUR HEART THROB 7 $41.00 $5.50 $26.84
4. JUST BINGO 14 $101.00 $7.50 $47.83
13. CRYPTIC PRISM 2 $91.00 $7.50 $52.40
8. REIGNING ALPHA 15 $151.00 $13.00 $65.88
Favourite record at ROCKHAMPTON

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 95% 22*
2.50–3.49 24% 50% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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