โ€น All races

WARWICK FARM

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:55 PM

Race 4

2:35 PM
2400m ยท 6 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st AUTUMN WINTER (IRE)
2nd DE LOUVIERE (IRE) โญ Best Bet
3rd CASUAL CONNECTION (NZ)
4th STYLEBENDER (NZ) ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
ใ€ฐ๏ธ Best Bet placed โ€” DE LOUVIERE (IRE) ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
DE LOUVIERE (IRE) W $1.90
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
2
STYLEBENDER (NZ) P $2.00
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. DE LOUVIERE (IRE) FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.90 $1.26 $2.60
2. STYLEBENDER (NZ) 2 $5.00 $2.00 $5.27
1. CASUAL CONNECTION (NZ) 4 $5.50 $2.10 $6.63
4. MAJORIAN 5 $10.00 $3.20 $9.97
3. KNIGHTS ARMOUR 3 $12.00 $3.60 $10.28
5. AUTUMN WINTER (IRE) 6 $16.00 $4.20 $12.96
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 45% 95% 20*
2.00โ€“2.49 54% 79% 24*
2.50โ€“3.49 39% 68% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.