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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 1

5:15 PM
1600m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st PULA
2nd PARVENU (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd M'LADY ROSE (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
4th SURPERB FROST
✅ Place bet landed — M'LADY ROSE (NZ) ran a place
✅ Saver placed — PARVENU (NZ) ran a place
Competitive Lean
Model and market disagree — our top pick differs from the market favourite.
7
M'LADY ROSE (NZ) W $2.40·P $1.30
win or place
Our model rates this runner above the market favourite on form. Worth a win or place play.
5
PARVENU (NZ) P $1.30
Saver · place
Market favourite as a place saver — the market likes this one even if our model is cooler.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. M'LADY ROSE (NZ) TOP RATED 5 $2.40 $1.30 $3.26
5. PARVENU (NZ) FAV 7 $2.25 $1.30 $3.40
6. PULA 2 $6.00 $2.35 $6.19
3. SURPERB FROST 6 $9.50 $3.30 $7.70
2. SQUARE DEAL 4 $26.00 $5.50 $16.94
4. YOSHI STARDOM 1 $34.00 $6.50 $20.47
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 63% 78% 40*
2.00–2.49 this race 37% 71% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 78% 72
3.50–4.99 13% 53% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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