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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 4

6:45 PM

1100m · 8 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›

🏁 Result

1st LONGREACH DROVER

2nd ROYAL HONOUR ⭐ Best Bet

3rd MACCA'S ANGEL 💡 Saver

4th POLAR EYES

〰️ Best Bet placed — ROYAL HONOUR ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — MACCA'S ANGEL ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

ROYAL HONOUR W $1.85

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

MACCA'S ANGEL P $1.60

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. ROYAL HONOUR FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.85	$1.12	$2.85
8. MACCA'S ANGEL	4	$6.00	$1.60	$5.81
6. DUNTULM LASS	9	$9.50	$2.15	$9.14
10. POLAR EYES	3	$10.00	$2.20	$10.43
1. LONGREACH DROVER	7	$8.50	$2.00	$10.96
7. KELLERSLEA	2	$15.00	$2.80	$14.33
5. DOUBT IT'S LOVE	6	$31.00	$4.00	$15.37
9. MISS MILITARY	8	$26.00	$3.90	$21.64

Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	63%	78%	40*
2.00–2.49	37%	71%	38*
2.50–3.49	39%	78%	72
3.50–4.99	13%	53%	32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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