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MACKAY

R1 12:52 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:04 PM R4 2:42 PM R5 3:17 PM R6 3:57 PM R7 4:34 PM R8 5:12 PM

Race 4

2:42 PM
1300m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st SUMICH 💡 Saver
2nd NOTFORTHEMONEY
3rd MADAM NAZAR
4th STELLAR LEGEND
❌ Unplaced — PROVISEUR (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver won — SUMICH finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
PROVISEUR (NZ) W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
SUMICH P $1.60
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. PROVISEUR (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.00 $1.22 $3.27
4. SUMICH 11 $5.00 $1.60 $6.58
7. NOTFORTHEMONEY 8 $5.50 $1.75 $6.90
11. LUNA READY 3 $10.00 $2.35 $9.72
5. STELLAR LEGEND 10 $13.00 $3.10 $12.11
9. VIPER ROOM 4 $15.00 $3.40 $16.46
8. STREAMELOT (IRE) 2 $34.00 $5.50 $22.58
3. SOYDECAFFLATTE 5 $41.00 $5.75 $27.07
6. MADAM NAZAR 7 $51.00 $6.00 $29.48
1. TIGER JIM 6 $61.00 $6.00 $42.33
10. FROSTY QUEEN 9 $201.00 $20.00 $83.43
Favourite record at MACKAY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 36% 72% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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