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EAGLE FARM

R1 11:38 AM R2 12:13 PM R3 12:48 PM R4 1:23 PM R5 1:58 PM R6 2:33 PM R7 3:12 PM R8 3:52 PM R9 4:28 PM

Race 1

11:38 AM

1400m · 8 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›

🏁 Result

1st SILKEN SALUTE (NZ) 📍 Place Pick

2nd THE THORNCASTER 💡 Saver

3rd MOMOKA (NZ)

4th ZOU ZOU KAPADOKIA

✅ Place bet — won outright — SILKEN SALUTE (NZ) finished 1st

✅ Saver placed — THE THORNCASTER ran a place

Competitive Lean

Model and market disagree — our top pick differs from the market favourite.

SILKEN SALUTE (NZ) W $2.90·P $1.26

win or place

Our model rates this runner above the market favourite on form. Worth a win or place play.

THE THORNCASTER P $1.22

Saver · place

Market favourite as a place saver — the market likes this one even if our model is cooler.

Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. SILKEN SALUTE (NZ) TOP RATED	8	$2.90	$1.26	$4.06
3. THE THORNCASTER FAV	7	$2.45	$1.22	$4.07
2. BRUMAL	6	$5.00	$1.40	$5.30
7. MOMOKA (NZ)	4	$8.50	$2.15	$8.31
5. HOLD MY HAND	2	$16.00	$3.30	$11.69
4. ZEDDICH	5	$26.00	$4.00	$22.26
9. PIROUETTE GIRL	1	$34.00	$4.80	$22.39
6. ZOU ZOU KAPADOKIA	9	$71.00	$7.25	$41.61

Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99	55%	85%	20*
2.00–2.49 this race	37%	69%	35*
2.50–3.49	20%	60%	70
3.50–4.99	19%	54%	48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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