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EAGLE FARM

R1 11:38 AM R2 12:13 PM R3 12:48 PM R4 1:23 PM R5 1:58 PM R6 2:33 PM R7 3:12 PM R8 3:52 PM R9 4:28 PM

Race 2

12:13 PM
1000m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st ALL ADORE
2nd MANUKAU 💡 Saver
3rd SURPRISE HONEY
4th BALANCE THE BOOKS ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — BALANCE THE BOOKS didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — MANUKAU ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
BALANCE THE BOOKS W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
MANUKAU P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. BALANCE THE BOOKS FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.90 $1.14 $2.94
9. MANUKAU 3 $3.90 $1.32 $5.29
11. ALL ADORE 2 $8.50 $2.10 $8.25
2. SURPRISE HONEY 6 $10.00 $2.20 $10.07
8. BONFIRE SPARK 11 $11.00 $2.40 $10.84
5. VIALE 4 $23.00 $3.80 $17.05
7. DREAM LANTERN 5 $26.00 $4.20 $19.56
4. TARPS 1 $31.00 $4.60 $20.81
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 37% 69% 35*
2.50–3.49 20% 60% 70
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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