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MORNINGTON

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:20 PM R3 12:55 PM R4 1:30 PM R5 2:05 PM R6 2:40 PM R7 3:20 PM R8 4:00 PM R9 4:35 PM R10 5:10 PM

Race 1

11:50 AM
1000m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st THE SPEED MACHINE
2nd LUNA VEGA 📍 Place Pick
3rd ZYNARO
4th KNURL 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — LUNA VEGA ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
LUNA VEGA P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
KNURL W $4.60
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. LUNA VEGA FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.50 $1.40 $3.37
2. THE SPEED MACHINE 2 $3.00 $1.60 $3.89
1. KNURL 10 $4.60 $2.15 $5.08
9. MISTIFYZOU 5 $21.00 $7.25 $11.90
7. ZYNARO 6 $12.00 $4.60 $13.88
6. KING KORUNA 3 $17.00 $5.50 $18.43
5. DULOC 1 $26.00 $8.00 $25.65
Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 83% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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