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KEMBLA GRANGE

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:45 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM

Race 4

2:45 PM

1200m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st PRESIDES

2nd SMASHING TIME ⭐ Best Bet

3rd DIVINE SECRETS (NZ) 💡 Saver

4th ALL MACHIAVELLIAN

〰️ Best Bet placed — SMASHING TIME ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — DIVINE SECRETS (NZ) ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

SMASHING TIME W $1.60

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

DIVINE SECRETS (NZ) P $1.26

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. SMASHING TIME FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.60	$1.06	$2.56
6. DIVINE SECRETS (NZ)	3	$3.70	$1.26	$4.50
2. PRESIDES	1	$8.00	$1.60	$7.60
4. BUTTERFLY STYLE	8	$18.00	$2.60	$12.85
5. ALL MACHIAVELLIAN	7	$19.00	$2.70	$13.90
3. CLOSE ENCOUNTER	6	$34.00	$3.80	$20.98
7. GLADSTONE GRANDE	4	$41.00	$4.00	$25.29
9. LA BELLA BONDI	5	$126.00	$6.00	$51.56

Favourite record at KEMBLA GRANGE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	57%	70%	23*
2.00–2.49	48%	86%	21*
2.50–3.49	33%	58%	40*
3.50–4.99	39%	61%	23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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