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KEMBLA GRANGE

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:45 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM

Race 7

4:40 PM
1500m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st INSPIRED LEGEND
2nd AUDENZIA
3rd MISS HVAR (NZ)
4th KING NIC
❌ Unplaced — PAPPA BLUE (NZ) didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
PAPPA BLUE (NZ) W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
WILD THOUGHTS P $1.50
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. PAPPA BLUE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 14 $1.75 $1.16 $2.90
7. WILD THOUGHTS 2 $4.60 $1.50 $6.33
2. AUDENZIA 10 $9.50 $2.30 $10.28
11. INSPIRED LEGEND 5 $13.00 $2.90 $13.50
14. CANADIAN FLING 7 $17.00 $3.50 $14.15
6. KING NIC 6 $18.00 $3.60 $14.68
1. SILENT IMPACT 12 $23.00 $3.90 $17.85
15. MISS HVAR (NZ) 15 $26.00 $4.60 $22.84
16. HEIR JORDAN 3 $61.00 $6.50 $29.42
10. TIP TOP TIMING 9 $61.00 $6.50 $34.13
12. MY GREEK GOD 4 $71.00 $7.00 $42.24
Favourite record at KEMBLA GRANGE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 57% 70% 23*
2.00–2.49 48% 86% 21*
2.50–3.49 33% 58% 40*
3.50–4.99 39% 61% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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