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GRAFTON

R1 12:53 PM R2 1:33 PM R3 2:13 PM R4 3:01 PM R5 3:38 PM R6 4:15 PM R7 4:49 PM

Race 5

3:38 PM
1000m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st RICH STAR
2nd GAYLORD (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd 8,9
❌ Unplaced — STORM MERCHANT didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — GAYLORD (NZ) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
STORM MERCHANT W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
GAYLORD (NZ) P $1.85
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. STORM MERCHANT FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.95 $1.26 $2.82
2. RICH STAR 2 $4.40 $1.95 $4.90
1. GAYLORD (NZ) 12 $4.20 $1.85 $5.51
9. ENHANCE 3 $13.00 $4.00 $11.82
13. GOT THE SMARTS 7 $17.00 $4.80 $13.04
5. PRESTIGE GUNDY 8 $23.00 $5.50 $17.20
15. MISS INDI 9 $51.00 $9.00 $24.83
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 64% 86% 22*
2.00–2.49 32% 82% 28*
2.50–3.49 24% 68% 37*
3.50–4.99 20% 36% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.