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MUSWELLBROOK

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:45 PM R4 2:20 PM R5 2:55 PM R6 3:35 PM R7 4:10 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 8

4:50 PM
1500m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SMOKE ON THE WATER
2nd TURNING CIRCLE
3rd SUGARFIRE 📍 Place Pick
4th TIPSY MISS
✅ Place bet landed — SUGARFIRE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
10
SUGARFIRE P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
ALL KIRKED UP W $4.80
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. SUGARFIRE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.50 $1.26 $3.79
8. ALL KIRKED UP 6 $4.80 $1.50 $5.70
2. SMOKE ON THE WATER 12 $4.20 $1.38 $5.71
9. TURNING CIRCLE 2 $4.80 $1.50 $6.29
4. CHISTOTA 7 $15.00 $3.20 $11.38
12. TIPSY MISS 3 $23.00 $3.90 $15.13
7. FIREUP 10 $31.00 $4.60 $22.55
5. SUNDAY PUNCH 11 $61.00 $6.00 $35.76
Favourite record at MUSWELLBROOK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 68% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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