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TOWNSVILLE

R1 12:47 PM R2 1:22 PM R3 1:57 PM R4 2:34 PM R5 3:12 PM R6 3:47 PM R7 4:27 PM

Race 4

2:34 PM
1200m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MISTER DOOBEE
2nd INSTA WORTHY
3rd GOLD CLASSIC
4th HOT COCOA 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — KRACKACAN didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
KRACKACAN W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
HOT COCOA P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. KRACKACAN FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.90 $1.16 $3.14
6. HOT COCOA 4 $6.00 $1.65 $6.49
4. SHE'S A SWEET STAR 3 $7.00 $1.85 $6.64
3. INSTA WORTHY 7 $7.50 $1.85 $8.47
5. GOLD CLASSIC 6 $12.00 $2.45 $10.73
2. MISTER DOOBEE 8 $15.00 $2.90 $11.46
7. TARONG 2 $41.00 $5.25 $24.53
8. RAFF VADER 1 $41.00 $5.25 $26.36
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 27% 65% 55*
3.50–4.99 22% 43% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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