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TOWNSVILLE

R1 12:47 PM R2 1:22 PM R3 1:57 PM R4 2:34 PM R5 3:12 PM R6 3:47 PM R7 4:27 PM

Race 5

3:12 PM

1200m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st BURRANEER BUOY 💡 Saver

2nd GOING NUCLEAR

3rd COLOURS OF AUTUMN ⭐ Best Bet

4th SWEET KISSES

〰️ Best Bet placed — COLOURS OF AUTUMN ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — BURRANEER BUOY finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

COLOURS OF AUTUMN W $1.90

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

BURRANEER BUOY P $1.40

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
7. COLOURS OF AUTUMN FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.90	$1.12	$2.82
4. BURRANEER BUOY	2	$5.50	$1.40	$6.02
2. ARMOUR FORCE	8	$5.50	$1.40	$6.42
3. SWEET KISSES	6	$8.50	$2.00	$8.94
5. GOING NUCLEAR	7	$10.00	$2.15	$9.32
6. CHOIR BOY	5	$18.00	$3.20	$13.48
8. MEDAL (NZ)	4	$151.00	$10.00	$62.40
1. HOPEFUL (FR)	3	$151.00	$9.00	$73.72

Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	48%	84%	25*
2.00–2.49	52%	68%	25*
2.50–3.49	27%	65%	55*
3.50–4.99	22%	43%	23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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