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GEELONG

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:45 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:30 PM R8 5:05 PM

Race 1

1:00 PM
1125m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MARSEPT ⭐ Best Bet
2nd VARADERO
3rd HARRY DE LAD
4th MISTY WHISPER
✅ Best Bet won — MARSEPT finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
MARSEPT W $1.14
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
UPOLU P $2.00
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. MARSEPT FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.14 $1.02 $1.60
5. UPOLU 8 $8.50 $2.00 $7.77
4. THE BOTANY FROG 4 $15.00 $2.70 $10.18
2. HARRY DE LAD 7 $31.00 $4.60 $17.46
6. VARADERO 2 $26.00 $4.25 $25.28
1. FLAMINGO FLYER 6 $51.00 $6.00 $28.62
3. MISTY WHISPER 3 $91.00 $9.00 $63.18
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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