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GEELONG

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:45 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:30 PM R8 5:05 PM

Race 4

2:45 PM

1525m · 10 runners

🏁 Result

1st SOLDIER BOI 💡 Saver

2nd HIGH ALTITUDE

3rd KIWI JENNI (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet

4th SLOANE RAIDER

〰️ Best Bet placed — KIWI JENNI (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — SOLDIER BOI finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

KIWI JENNI (NZ) W $1.45

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

SOLDIER BOI P $1.28

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
10. KIWI JENNI (NZ) FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.45	$1.06	$2.21
5. SOLDIER BOI	9	$3.90	$1.28	$5.08
4. KING KALAKAUA	2	$13.00	$2.25	$11.42
7. HIGH ALTITUDE	5	$26.00	$3.50	$15.11
1. LE PLUS RAPIDE	6	$23.00	$3.30	$20.86
2. AFFINEDEEL	1	$41.00	$4.40	$26.49
3. BURN FOR YOU	7	$41.00	$4.40	$26.73
6. TARNATION (NZ)	3	$34.00	$4.00	$30.81
9. DEELAMOUR	10	$51.00	$4.80	$40.27
8. SLOANE RAIDER	8	$151.00	$8.00	$60.51

Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.50–3.49	37%	74%	46*
3.50–4.99	23%	59%	22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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