‹ All races

PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 4

6:45 PM
2500m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st ARDASHIR (FR) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd QUITE THE LASS
3rd MADAME LEXIS
4th DUNDONALD
✅ Best Bet won — ARDASHIR (FR) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
ARDASHIR (FR) W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
DEALT P $1.40
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. ARDASHIR (FR) FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.85 $1.12 $2.96
6. QUITE THE LASS 6 $5.50 $1.55 $6.04
7. DEALT 4 $4.80 $1.40 $6.13
3. ROYAL OPTIMISM 8 $8.50 $2.05 $8.38
8. MADAME LEXIS 1 $11.00 $2.35 $10.18
5. DUNDONALD 2 $26.00 $3.80 $19.49
1. MR WATERVILLE (IRE) 7 $34.00 $4.40 $25.40
4. XTRAREVZ 5 $91.00 $6.50 $40.26
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 63% 78% 40*
2.00–2.49 37% 71% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 78% 72
3.50–4.99 13% 53% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.