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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM

Race 1

1:00 PM
900m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FOUND THE GOLD
2nd TI AMO
3rd WILD COURAGE
4th MYSTICAL
❌ Unplaced — SPICE TRAIL didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
9
SPICE TRAIL W $2.05·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. SPICE TRAIL FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.05 $1.28 $2.89
4. FOUND THE GOLD 3 $4.40 $2.00 $4.94
10. TI AMO 4 $5.00 $2.15 $6.26
8. MYSTICAL 9 $6.50 $2.45 $7.25
5. HANDLOOM 1 $15.00 $4.40 $12.05
11. WILD COURAGE 11 $26.00 $5.75 $20.00
2. PIERIPPER 7 $91.00 $18.00 $47.85
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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