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ASCOT

R1 3:09 PM R2 3:44 PM R3 4:19 PM R4 4:55 PM R5 5:30 PM R6 6:04 PM R7 6:40 PM R8 7:15 PM

Race 1

3:09 PM
1400m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Gollan Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st SPELLBORN
2nd GOD'S RAPTURE
3rd FIERY SPARK
4th LADIES PRO ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — LADIES PRO didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
LADIES PRO W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
SPLIT THE GEE P $2.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. LADIES PRO FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.75 $1.22 $2.56
3. SPLIT THE GEE 3 $6.50 $2.30 $6.89
6. SPELLBORN 2 $8.50 $3.10 $7.18
4. MOONWALK 5 $8.00 $2.90 $7.25
5. GOD'S RAPTURE 1 $8.50 $3.10 $8.28
2. FIERY SPARK 6 $20.00 $5.25 $15.16
Favourite record at ASCOT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 49% 81% 37*
2.00–2.49 41% 81% 59*
2.50–3.49 24% 58% 85
3.50–4.99 20% 46% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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