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HOBART

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:33 PM R4 2:08 PM R5 2:43 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:05 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 1

12:25 PM
1600m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st SKELMORLIE
2nd NATIVE CLAN 📍 Place Pick
3rd HIGH TAIL EAGLE
4th MONTEZULU
✅ Place bet landed — NATIVE CLAN ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
4
NATIVE CLAN P $1.70
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
1
ELEGANTLY WRITTEN W $4.20
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. NATIVE CLAN FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.30 $1.70 $4.34
3. SKELMORLIE 1 $3.30 $1.70 $4.77
1. ELEGANTLY WRITTEN 6 $4.20 $2.05 $4.89
2. MONTEZULU 4 $6.50 $2.60 $7.05
7. STEELE MY SUNSHINE 5 $10.00 $3.70 $9.96
5. HIGH TAIL EAGLE 7 $13.00 $4.40 $11.95
6. MISS PEBBLES 2 $71.00 $16.00 $33.87
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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