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Race 4

2:08 PM
2100m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FLORENCE GLASS
2nd HAPPY CLAN
3rd VEINS WITHIN ROCK ⭐ Best Bet
4th IFFYCOULD (NZ) 💡 Saver
〰️ Best Bet placed — VEINS WITHIN ROCK ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
VEINS WITHIN ROCK W $1.45
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
IFFYCOULD (NZ) P $2.60
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. VEINS WITHIN ROCK FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.45 $1.14 $2.23
4. FLORENCE GLASS 3 $9.00 $2.80 $7.86
3. IFFYCOULD (NZ) 4 $8.50 $2.60 $8.04
5. GODDESS OF ROCK 6 $10.00 $3.10 $9.72
1. HAPPY CLAN 7 $11.00 $3.20 $10.68
7. RESERVOIR DOG 5 $17.00 $4.40 $13.87
6. FASHION FOX 1 $61.00 $9.00 $31.22
Favourite record at HOBART

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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