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R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:33 PM R4 2:08 PM R5 2:43 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:05 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 5

2:43 PM
1400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st GEEGEE STRAWBERRY
2nd TOGANMAIN 📍 Place Pick
3rd LONTANO
4th TRIBAL COUNCIL
✅ Place bet landed — TOGANMAIN ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
TOGANMAIN P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
LIVE ON LOVE W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. TOGANMAIN FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.90 $1.30 $4.48
6. CRYSTAL MOONBEAM 6 $4.00 $1.45 $5.25
3. LIVE ON LOVE 2 $5.50 $1.85 $6.85
1. TRIBAL COUNCIL 5 $6.00 $1.90 $7.97
9. GEEGEE STRAWBERRY 8 $9.00 $2.40 $9.73
5. MATEUS 1 $14.00 $3.30 $12.31
2. LONTANO 3 $14.00 $3.20 $14.25
8. CARNELIAN ROCK 9 $21.00 $4.00 $16.42
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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