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Race 8

4:50 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st FLYING CONCELLO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ZULU FIELDS
3rd MATERIAL MADAM 💡 Saver
4th ESPRIT DIVA
✅ Best Bet won — FLYING CONCELLO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MATERIAL MADAM ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FLYING CONCELLO W $1.50
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
MATERIAL MADAM P $1.70
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FLYING CONCELLO FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.50 $1.09 $2.52
2. MATERIAL MADAM 7 $7.00 $1.70 $7.41
6. ESPRIT DIVA 1 $9.00 $2.05 $9.45
7. WEDNESDAY'S BOSS 5 $16.00 $2.90 $14.37
4. GINGERSON 3 $16.00 $2.90 $14.92
3. ARAYA SUNSHINE 6 $19.00 $3.20 $15.21
8. SWINGING IT 9 $18.00 $3.20 $15.21
5. BELLASARIO 8 $26.00 $3.70 $18.86
9. ZULU FIELDS 4 $34.00 $4.40 $24.62
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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