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TOWNSVILLE

R1 1:12 PM R2 1:52 PM R3 2:27 PM R4 3:04 PM R5 3:42 PM R6 4:17 PM R7 4:57 PM

Race 2

1:52 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st MAGIC SUNNY DAY
2nd KAJETAN
3rd AMBER AFFAIR 💡 Saver
4th TORANAGA
❌ Unplaced — EXCEEDINGLY BRAZEN didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — AMBER AFFAIR ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
EXCEEDINGLY BRAZEN W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
AMBER AFFAIR P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. EXCEEDINGLY BRAZEN FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.80 $1.12 $2.75
6. AMBER AFFAIR 9 $3.60 $1.30 $4.58
2. SMALL TOWN HUSSLER 5 $12.00 $2.40 $10.52
7. KAJETAN 4 $17.00 $3.10 $15.80
4. TORANAGA 3 $13.00 $2.50 $16.81
3. MAGIC SUNNY DAY 6 $23.00 $3.60 $18.07
5. LIVELY SPIRIT 2 $26.00 $3.80 $18.96
8. WE US 'N' CO 7 $26.00 $3.90 $20.05
9. VALADORE 8 $41.00 $5.00 $23.89
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 27% 65% 55*
3.50–4.99 22% 43% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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