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BALLARAT

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Race 8

5:00 PM
1100m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st DOCUMENTARY 📍 Place Pick
2nd XTRAMAGIC
3rd BALLON D'OR
4th VILLE DE LUMIERE
✅ Place bet — won outright — DOCUMENTARY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
3
DOCUMENTARY W $2.25·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. DOCUMENTARY FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.25 $1.28 $3.88
4. THINKING OF GERTY 8 $4.20 $1.55 $5.81
12. PROVEN SOUL 6 $7.00 $2.20 $8.01
16. VILLE DE LUMIERE 5 $8.50 $2.35 $9.12
14. SMOKE SCREEN 9 $10.00 $2.60 $10.75
13. ZETALYN 7 $19.00 $3.90 $16.51
7. KAMEZALI 10 $21.00 $4.20 $16.95
15. LUCKY DUCK 14 $34.00 $5.50 $24.54
2. BALLON D'OR 16 $41.00 $5.75 $30.35
17. XTRAMAGIC 17 $51.00 $6.50 $33.75
1. ORLABENT 4 $101.00 $10.00 $51.21
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 38% 63% 40*
3.50–4.99 30% 70% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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