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PAKENHAM

R1 4:15 PM R2 4:45 PM R3 5:15 PM R4 5:45 PM R5 6:15 PM R6 6:45 PM R7 7:15 PM R8 7:45 PM R9 8:15 PM

Race 3

5:15 PM
1600m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st EMPEROR TZU ⭐ Best Bet
2nd TAGALAON
3rd MYWIFEISNOTHERE
4th CRYSTAL JADE 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — EMPEROR TZU finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
EMPEROR TZU W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
CRYSTAL JADE P $1.38
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. EMPEROR TZU FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.90 $1.18 $2.97
1. CRYSTAL JADE 6 $4.40 $1.38 $5.63
5. SILVER LIGHTNING 4 $8.00 $2.10 $8.95
9. EMANATING 7 $9.50 $2.30 $9.48
8. CREUSA (NZ) 10 $20.00 $3.60 $13.29
6. SQUID PRO QUO 3 $19.00 $3.50 $19.41
3. MYWIFEISNOTHERE 8 $31.00 $4.60 $21.22
7. TAGALAON 2 $23.00 $3.90 $22.90
11. KADDARI 12 $41.00 $5.25 $23.92
4. ROUGH ACT 5 $151.00 $12.00 $108.63
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 63% 78% 40*
2.00–2.49 37% 71% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 78% 72
3.50–4.99 13% 53% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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