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PAKENHAM

R1 4:15 PM R2 4:45 PM R3 5:15 PM R4 5:45 PM R5 6:15 PM R6 6:45 PM R7 7:15 PM R8 7:45 PM R9 8:15 PM

Race 4

5:45 PM
1600m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st BOOKMAN 📍 Place Pick
2nd LIKA MOSH
3rd EPICUS 💡 Saver
4th TUSSOCK
✅ Place bet — won outright — BOOKMAN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — EPICUS ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
BOOKMAN P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
EPICUS W $14.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BOOKMAN FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.60 $1.28 $3.81
1. DIAMANDA 7 $3.00 $1.30 $4.40
2. QUBELLA 11 $4.40 $1.40 $5.86
5. EPICUS 13 $14.00 $3.20 $13.07
8. LITTLE RICHIE TURF 6 $17.00 $3.50 $15.38
9. REBILLYOUS 9 $23.00 $4.00 $18.45
10. TUSSOCK 1 $34.00 $5.00 $20.43
4. GWENNYBEGG 4 $41.00 $5.50 $26.44
6. HAWKESTONE 3 $61.00 $6.50 $32.84
7. LIKA MOSH 2 $61.00 $6.50 $37.43
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 63% 78% 40*
2.00–2.49 37% 71% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 78% 72
3.50–4.99 13% 53% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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