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GEELONG

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:20 PM
1760m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FENESTELLA 📍 Place Pick
2nd AND I AM 💡 Saver
3rd CHOUXDINO
4th DEELAMOUR
✅ Place bet — won outright — FENESTELLA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — AND I AM ran a place
Competitive Lean
Model and market disagree — our top pick differs from the market favourite.
8
FENESTELLA W $2.40·P $1.20
win or place
Our model rates this runner above the market favourite on form. Worth a win or place play.
1
AND I AM P $1.18
Saver · place
Market favourite as a place saver — the market likes this one even if our model is cooler.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. FENESTELLA TOP RATED 8 $2.40 $1.20 $3.25
1. AND I AM FAV 5 $2.35 $1.18 $3.32
4. CHOUXDINO 9 $8.50 $1.90 $10.42
9. YATCHAW 6 $13.00 $2.35 $11.13
7. DEELAMOUR 1 $17.00 $2.80 $14.17
5. TARNATION (NZ) 7 $18.00 $2.90 $18.30
3. BRUTUS JUNIUS 3 $41.00 $4.40 $24.81
6. TORQUAY TOFF 4 $41.00 $4.40 $24.93
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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