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TOOWOOMBA

R1 5:25 PM R2 5:56 PM R3 6:31 PM R4 7:05 PM R5 7:41 PM R6 8:13 PM R7 8:51 PM

Race 1

5:25 PM

1100m · 7 runners

📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›

🏁 Result

1st HIGH PROPHET

2nd FINAL CRUSADE ⭐ Best Bet

3rd O'REILLYS FLIGHT

4th MAGRITTE 💡 Saver

〰️ Best Bet placed — FINAL CRUSADE ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

FINAL CRUSADE W $1.60

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

MAGRITTE P $1.38

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
2. FINAL CRUSADE FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.60	$1.16	$2.43
9. MAGRITTE	2	$3.40	$1.38	$3.97
13. TESSA	7	$12.00	$3.50	$9.81
5. O'REILLYS FLIGHT	9	$10.00	$3.10	$10.09
3. HIGH PROPHET	1	$19.00	$4.40	$11.75
7. TAP OUT	14	$71.00	$11.00	$35.15
1. DIAMOND GALLERY	6	$81.00	$11.00	$43.82

Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	50%	85%	20*
2.00–2.49	32%	68%	31*
2.50–3.49	32%	66%	50*
3.50–4.99	24%	52%	25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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