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WARRNAMBOOL

R1 11:20 AM R2 12:00 PM R3 12:40 PM R4 1:15 PM R5 1:45 PM R6 2:20 PM R7 2:55 PM R8 3:30 PM R9 4:00 PM R10 4:30 PM

Race 3

12:40 PM

3200m · 10 runners

🏁 Result

1st FENGARADA

2nd UNTETHERED (NZ) 💡 Saver

3rd ARDAKAN (GB) ⭐ Best Bet

4th JUNGLE JET (NZ)

〰️ Best Bet placed — ARDAKAN (GB) ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — UNTETHERED (NZ) ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

ARDAKAN (GB) W $1.90

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

UNTETHERED (NZ) P $1.65

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. ARDAKAN (GB) FAV TOP RATED	6	$1.90	$1.16	$3.01
9. UNTETHERED (NZ)	4	$6.00	$1.65	$6.84
8. THE CLAIMANT	2	$6.00	$1.65	$7.29
2. FENGARADA	8	$10.00	$2.20	$9.15
3. GALILAEUS (GB)	7	$14.00	$2.70	$12.36
4. JUNGLE JET (NZ)	11	$15.00	$3.00	$13.17
10. HIGH HEELED	1	$21.00	$3.60	$17.46
5. MALBOROUGH BAY (NZ)	5	$51.00	$5.50	$28.80
6. MR ZED (NZ)	3	$151.00	$15.00	$66.95
11. BROADFIELD (GB)	9	$201.00	$17.00	$90.35

Favourite record at WARRNAMBOOL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.50–3.49	29%	76%	21*
3.50–4.99	25%	50%	20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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