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EAGLE FARM

R1 11:57 AM R2 12:28 PM R3 1:03 PM R4 1:38 PM R5 2:13 PM R6 2:53 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:08 PM R9 4:43 PM

Race 4

1:38 PM
1300m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st KICKUP ROCKY
2nd COASTAL BOOM 💡 Saver
3rd BACIAMI
4th MOTIVATING
❌ Unplaced — THE THORNCASTER didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — COASTAL BOOM ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
THE THORNCASTER P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
COASTAL BOOM W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. THE THORNCASTER FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.60 $1.28 $3.97
1. MURKADO 5 $4.40 $1.40 $5.43
7. COASTAL BOOM 3 $6.00 $1.80 $6.77
6. MOTIVATING 2 $9.50 $2.35 $9.43
2. BRUMAL 7 $12.00 $2.70 $11.96
9. MOMOKA (NZ) 8 $17.00 $3.40 $12.62
3. KICKUP ROCKY 12 $12.00 $2.70 $12.73
5. BACIAMI 11 $26.00 $4.40 $18.46
11. SUPER SWAZEY 6 $151.00 $13.00 $70.40
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 37% 69% 35*
2.50–3.49 this race 20% 60% 70
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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