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WARWICK FARM

R1 12:45 PM R2 1:20 PM R3 1:55 PM R4 2:30 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:25 PM

Race 5

3:10 PM
1600m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st SUPERFABULISTIC (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd HOVLAND
3rd LONTRICE 💡 Saver
4th THE CREATOR (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — SUPERFABULISTIC (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — LONTRICE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
13
SUPERFABULISTIC (NZ) P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
9
LONTRICE W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
13. SUPERFABULISTIC (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.70 $1.30 $3.78
5. MOJAVE RIVER (FR) 2 $4.40 $1.55 $6.52
9. LONTRICE 1 $7.50 $2.25 $7.73
4. IS IT SPECTACULAR 11 $8.00 $2.30 $8.93
2. SOUTHERN PRINCE 6 $9.00 $2.40 $10.14
11. ZOUFIELD 3 $11.00 $2.80 $12.39
8. HOVLAND 12 $26.00 $4.80 $21.20
1. THE CREATOR (NZ) 13 $34.00 $5.25 $24.06
7. AFFERMATO (IRE) 5 $41.00 $5.75 $27.20
10. GREEN RUN 7 $51.00 $6.00 $27.94
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 52% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 32% 65% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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