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WARRNAMBOOL

R1 11:15 AM R2 11:45 AM R3 12:15 PM R4 12:45 PM R5 1:15 PM R6 1:50 PM R7 2:30 PM R8 3:15 PM R9 3:55 PM R10 4:30 PM

Race 1

11:15 AM
3200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MR WATERVILLE (IRE) 💡 Saver
2nd FENGARADA
3rd ONGATITI (NZ)
4th GOLDEN CRUSADER (FR) 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — GOLDEN CRUSADER (FR) didn't feature
✅ Saver won — MR WATERVILLE (IRE) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
GOLDEN CRUSADER (FR) P $1.36
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
11
MR WATERVILLE (IRE) W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. GOLDEN CRUSADER (FR) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.50 $1.36 $3.49
8. FENGARADA 12 $3.90 $1.90 $4.89
7. ONGATITI (NZ) 8 $3.90 $1.90 $4.89
11. MR WATERVILLE (IRE) 1 $6.50 $2.70 $6.96
10. EMBEZZLER (NZ) 2 $15.00 $4.60 $12.83
2. MR LINCOLN 3 $21.00 $5.50 $15.22
5. FIERCE FLIGHT 6 $126.00 $21.00 $58.50
Favourite record at WARRNAMBOOL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 76% 21*
3.50–4.99 25% 50% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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