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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 12:17 PM R2 12:52 PM R3 1:27 PM R4 2:02 PM R5 2:37 PM R6 3:12 PM R7 3:52 PM R8 4:30 PM R9 5:05 PM

Race 6

3:12 PM
1600m · 12 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st ARRAN BAY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd PUDDING (NZ)
3rd CHICAGO STORM
4th FINE FUTURE (JPN)
✅ Best Bet won — ARRAN BAY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
ARRAN BAY W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
DEAKIN (FR) P $2.35
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. ARRAN BAY FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.75 $1.16 $2.93
4. DEAKIN (FR) 10 $8.50 $2.35 $9.49
7. PUDDING (NZ) 2 $9.00 $2.35 $9.64
3. SCHEELITE 1 $9.50 $2.40 $11.29
10. SCANDALIZE (NZ) 3 $15.00 $3.30 $12.81
6. CHICAGO STORM 6 $14.00 $3.30 $13.67
8. FINE FUTURE (JPN) 12 $21.00 $4.00 $18.13
9. WATADEEL 8 $31.00 $5.75 $23.94
11. SUPER LAD 5 $41.00 $6.25 $24.55
5. KOMACHI (IRE) 11 $51.00 $7.00 $33.07
12. TEARDROP ROTATION 4 $71.00 $8.50 $37.40
1. GOLDRUSH GURU 9 $126.00 $15.00 $64.43
Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 53% 77% 30*
2.50–3.49 22% 53% 64
3.50–4.99 22% 40% 58*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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