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DARWIN

R1 2:47 PM R2 3:21 PM R3 4:06 PM R4 4:42 PM R5 5:16 PM R6 5:50 PM

Race 3

4:06 PM
1200m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st CRAZY BRAVE 📍 Place Pick
2nd VILLA ROYALE
3rd BRAZEN BON
4th POLARISING 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — CRAZY BRAVE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
CRAZY BRAVE P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
POLARISING W $4.20
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
5
VILLA ROYALE W $10.00
Form view · saver 13.7% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) · Recent form: 1x7x
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. CRAZY BRAVE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.65 $1.32 $3.58
4. POLARISING 2 $4.20 $1.90 $4.90
1. HENNESSY LAD (NZ) 3 $4.40 $1.95 $5.10
2. BRAZEN BON 4 $4.40 $1.95 $5.29
5. VILLA ROYALE 5 $10.00 $3.40 $7.61
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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