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SUNSHINE COAST

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:05 PM R3 1:40 PM R4 2:15 PM R5 2:50 PM R6 3:30 PM R7 4:10 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 6

3:30 PM
1000m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Sunshine Coast Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st SAPPHIRE REIGN
2nd EXCENIA
3rd BLITZWATER 💡 Saver
4th THE SOUR
❌ Unplaced — UNFAITHFUL didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — BLITZWATER ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
UNFAITHFUL P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
BLITZWATER W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. UNFAITHFUL FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.80 $1.28 $4.15
3. EXCENIA 8 $3.60 $1.34 $4.81
2. OVER DRAFT 5 $4.80 $1.50 $5.74
6. BLITZWATER 9 $7.50 $2.10 $8.11
11. THE SOUR 2 $11.00 $2.45 $10.69
7. SAPPHIRE REIGN 12 $20.00 $3.70 $15.07
1. FIGHTING IDOL 10 $23.00 $3.80 $17.56
15. LI'L REX 7 $41.00 $5.25 $27.10
Favourite record at SUNSHINE COAST ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 67% 93% 27*
2.00–2.49 39% 68% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 65% 60
3.50–4.99 26% 69% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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