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MORNINGTON

R1 12:40 PM R2 1:15 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:05 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:23 PM

Race 1

12:40 PM
1200m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st SHE WON'T FOLD
2nd BEAU STRADA 📍 Place Pick
3rd BALMORAL CASTLE
4th PASIFAE
✅ Place bet landed — BEAU STRADA ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
BEAU STRADA P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
MAJESTIC CHOICE W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BEAU STRADA FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.50 $1.34 $3.31
2. BALMORAL CASTLE 4 $2.60 $1.36 $3.86
8. MAJESTIC CHOICE 1 $5.00 $2.20 $5.48
10. PASIFAE 8 $9.50 $3.40 $6.95
4. COSMIC DYNASTY 7 $17.00 $4.80 $15.91
11. SHE WON'T FOLD 5 $26.00 $6.00 $20.15
Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 83% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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