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Race 3

2:00 PM
2439m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st ZINOVATION (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd LILLARD
3rd CLYDEBANK ROBBER
4th GUTHRIE (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — ZINOVATION (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
9
ZINOVATION (NZ) P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
SALTILLO W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. ZINOVATION (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 11 $2.60 $1.28 $3.69
6. LILLARD 10 $3.50 $1.34 $5.50
7. SALTILLO 7 $5.50 $1.75 $6.31
1. ATEYATE (NZ) 2 $10.00 $2.40 $9.89
5. GUTHRIE (NZ) 5 $13.00 $3.00 $11.34
10. WIZARDESS 8 $15.00 $3.40 $13.92
4. EXCEED AND BELIEVE 4 $26.00 $4.40 $19.37
3. CLYDEBANK ROBBER 6 $34.00 $5.00 $23.72
2. CHARLIE MESSY HAIR 14 $61.00 $6.00 $47.94
12. STARTLING MOON 9 $151.00 $15.00 $79.10
Favourite record at MOE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 45% 75% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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