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MACKAY

R1 12:08 PM R2 12:39 PM R3 1:15 PM R4 1:55 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:10 PM R7 3:45 PM R8 4:23 PM

Race 7

3:45 PM

1300m · 10 runners

🏁 Result

1st THE KOBAY TRAIN

2nd FOUR LEAF WONDER 💡 Saver

3rd BOLD CHANGE ⭐ Best Bet

4th MISSISSIPPI DREAM (NZ)

〰️ Best Bet placed — BOLD CHANGE ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — FOUR LEAF WONDER ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

BOLD CHANGE W $1.90

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

FOUR LEAF WONDER P $1.50

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
2. BOLD CHANGE FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.90	$1.18	$3.12
4. FOUR LEAF WONDER	5	$4.80	$1.50	$6.06
9. THE KOBAY TRAIN	6	$10.00	$2.35	$10.20
8. MISSISSIPPI DREAM (NZ)	2	$13.00	$2.90	$11.44
7. SPITZBERG	4	$12.00	$2.70	$11.46
3. MORDECAI	8	$15.00	$3.20	$14.00
5. OUR HEART THROB	1	$16.00	$3.30	$14.14
1. TOP HONOURS	7	$26.00	$4.40	$23.51
10. MAKING HISTORY	9	$41.00	$5.50	$27.53
6. DUBAWI'S GIRL	10	$101.00	$8.00	$49.01

Favourite record at MACKAY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	40%	85%	20*
2.50–3.49	35%	76%	34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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