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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 4

6:15 PM
1400m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st LET LILY LOOSE (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ENCHANTED LASS (NZ)
3rd LOFT VEGA 💡 Saver
4th JEZEBEL JENNI
✅ Best Bet won — LET LILY LOOSE (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — LOFT VEGA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
LET LILY LOOSE (NZ) W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
LOFT VEGA P $1.28
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LET LILY LOOSE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.95 $1.12 $2.96
6. LOFT VEGA 3 $3.60 $1.28 $4.89
9. SAYALERO 9 $4.80 $1.34 $5.26
1. ENCHANTED LASS (NZ) 5 $10.00 $2.05 $8.24
4. JEZEBEL JENNI 8 $23.00 $3.40 $17.70
3. IVY PRINCESS 6 $41.00 $4.40 $27.26
7. LOMENIE (NZ) 4 $51.00 $5.00 $28.98
2. GYPSY MOON 2 $101.00 $6.00 $52.97
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 63% 78% 40*
2.00–2.49 37% 71% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 78% 72
3.50–4.99 13% 53% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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