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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:05 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM

Race 4

2:25 PM
1300m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st HIDDEN STAR 📍 Place Pick
2nd POSHY'S GIRL
3rd ANOTHER MISSION
4th EXTRA SPECIAL
✅ Place bet — won outright — HIDDEN STAR finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
HIDDEN STAR P $1.50
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
3
SIR PHIL (NZ) W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. HIDDEN STAR FAV TOP RATED 19 $3.50 $1.50 $5.31
8. RESCHS MILK 2 $4.00 $1.60 $6.21
3. SIR PHIL (NZ) 8 $8.50 $2.50 $8.85
11. SACRED WELL 12 $8.50 $2.60 $11.00
12. ANOTHER MISSION 6 $14.00 $3.70 $13.04
7. POSHY'S GIRL 18 $13.00 $3.40 $14.02
9. G'DAY AUSBRED 1 $15.00 $3.80 $14.21
19. SEVEN WONDERS 5 $14.00 $3.70 $14.23
5. EXTRA SPECIAL 14 $19.00 $4.20 $16.58
18. KUWAIT 7 $23.00 $5.00 $19.86
14. POPULISM 11 $26.00 $5.25 $21.06
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.50) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 this race 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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