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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:43 PM R7 4:12 PM R8 4:45 PM

Race 2

12:50 PM
1400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st OBSIDIAN DREAM (NZ) 💡 Saver
2nd VONDEL (NZ)
3rd ALNAIR ⭐ Best Bet
4th SUCCESSFUL IMPACT
〰️ Best Bet placed — ALNAIR ran a place (win bet missed)
Saver won — OBSIDIAN DREAM (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ALNAIR W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
OBSIDIAN DREAM (NZ) P $1.38
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ALNAIR FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.65 $1.20 $2.44
3. OBSIDIAN DREAM (NZ) 8 $3.30 $1.38 $4.57
6. SUCCESSFUL IMPACT 5 $9.00 $3.10 $8.52
4. OLIVIA MIA 7 $13.00 $3.80 $9.40
2. CIRCUS GIRL 2 $19.00 $4.80 $13.95
7. VONDEL (NZ) 3 $31.00 $5.75 $21.77
8. COOLAZCANBE 6 $81.00 $13.00 $33.54
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 17% 60% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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