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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:43 PM R7 4:12 PM R8 4:45 PM

Race 2

12:50 PM

1400m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st OBSIDIAN DREAM (NZ) 💡 Saver

2nd VONDEL (NZ)

3rd ALNAIR ⭐ Best Bet

4th SUCCESSFUL IMPACT

〰️ Best Bet placed — ALNAIR ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — OBSIDIAN DREAM (NZ) finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

ALNAIR W $1.65

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

OBSIDIAN DREAM (NZ) P $1.38

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. ALNAIR FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.65	$1.20	$2.44
3. OBSIDIAN DREAM (NZ)	8	$3.30	$1.38	$4.57
6. SUCCESSFUL IMPACT	5	$9.00	$3.10	$8.52
4. OLIVIA MIA	7	$13.00	$3.80	$9.40
2. CIRCUS GIRL	2	$19.00	$4.80	$13.95
7. VONDEL (NZ)	3	$31.00	$5.75	$21.77
8. COOLAZCANBE	6	$81.00	$13.00	$33.54

Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	57%	83%	23*
2.00–2.49	35%	78%	23*
2.50–3.49	16%	63%	43*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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