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DARWIN

R1 2:31 PM R2 3:12 PM R3 3:52 PM R4 4:27 PM R5 4:59 PM

Race 1

2:31 PM
1300m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st HEBEL
2nd FIELDS OF COURAGE (NZ)
3rd ANKLE ROLEX 💡 Saver
4th ANECDOTAL 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — ANECDOTAL didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — ANKLE ROLEX ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
ANECDOTAL P $1.75
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
3
ANKLE ROLEX W $4.60
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. ANECDOTAL FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.50 $1.75 $4.29
3. ANKLE ROLEX 6 $4.60 $2.15 $5.13
2. HEBEL 2 $4.80 $2.20 $6.06
1. BEAU FACTOR 1 $5.00 $2.25 $6.40
4. FIELDS OF COURAGE (NZ) 4 $5.50 $2.35 $6.43
5. FRANKFURT 5 $12.00 $4.00 $10.54
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.50) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 64% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 43% 81% 47*
2.50–3.49 37% 67% 52*
3.50–4.99 this race 31% 59% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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