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MACKAY

R1 12:34 PM R2 1:09 PM R3 1:44 PM R4 2:19 PM R5 2:54 PM R6 3:34 PM R7 4:14 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 1

12:34 PM

1050m · 6 runners

🏁 Result

1st BOWDENE 💡 Saver

2nd ON THE CLOCK ⭐ Best Bet

3rd ALBERTA BOUND

4th I'LLTELLYOUANYTIME

〰️ Best Bet placed — ON THE CLOCK ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — BOWDENE finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

ON THE CLOCK W $1.80

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

BOWDENE P $1.40

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. ON THE CLOCK FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.80	$1.22	$2.63
4. BOWDENE	6	$3.50	$1.40	$4.27
2. ALBERTA BOUND	1	$6.00	$2.15	$5.44
3. DUB STEPPING	2	$11.00	$3.30	$8.83
5. I'LLTELLYOUANYTIME	4	$17.00	$4.20	$12.81
7. UMPQUA	7	$126.00	$18.00	$92.56

Favourite record at MACKAY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	40%	85%	20*
2.50–3.49	35%	76%	34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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