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Race 5

2:30 PM
1600m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st SIR JAG 💡 Saver
2nd SOUTH GEORGIA
3rd MERLIN BEACH (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
4th LAST TREMBLE
✅ Place bet landed — MERLIN BEACH (NZ) ran a place
✅ Saver won — SIR JAG finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
MERLIN BEACH (NZ) P $1.55
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
5
SIR JAG W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MERLIN BEACH (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 1 $3.80 $1.55 $5.50
10. SOUTH GEORGIA 6 $4.00 $1.65 $5.70
6. CALLED THROUGH 5 $5.50 $2.00 $7.23
5. SIR JAG 9 $9.50 $2.70 $10.83
8. ICE CRYSTAL 3 $13.00 $3.50 $11.06
7. COLD AZA BEER 11 $9.50 $2.80 $11.96
9. LAST TREMBLE 2 $13.00 $3.50 $13.00
4. NORTHERN CHILD 12 $13.00 $3.40 $13.83
11. WHISPER OF MATILDA 10 $34.00 $5.75 $27.42
1. ALPINE HONEY 7 $41.00 $6.00 $37.05
12. THE LITTLE BAY 8 $61.00 $8.00 $39.38
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.80) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 38% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 36% 70% 50*
3.50–4.99 this race 3% 47% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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