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Race 7

3:45 PM
1200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st FLYING CONCELLO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ZUNI
3rd FURNEAUX
4th FLYING BILLIE 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — FLYING CONCELLO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
FLYING CONCELLO W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
FLYING BILLIE P $1.80
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. FLYING CONCELLO FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.90 $1.22 $3.17
4. FLYING BILLIE 10 $5.50 $1.80 $7.11
10. THISISMYTURF 3 $8.00 $2.30 $10.11
7. ZUNI 1 $11.00 $2.60 $10.16
1. FURNEAUX 9 $9.50 $2.40 $10.87
6. SANDUAL 2 $21.00 $3.90 $16.92
8. ARAYA SUNSHINE 6 $20.00 $3.80 $17.55
5. POPILITA 7 $23.00 $4.20 $20.38
3. DON'T GIVE UP 8 $26.00 $4.40 $21.12
9. ESPRIT DIVA 5 $34.00 $5.00 $23.58
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 38% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 36% 70% 50*
3.50–4.99 3% 47% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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