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DARWIN

R1 3:00 PM R2 3:34 PM R3 4:14 PM R4 4:48 PM R5 5:25 PM

Race 2

3:34 PM

1200m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st HAMMURABI 💡 Saver

2nd PAFITIS ⭐ Best Bet

3rd DYNASTY REWARD

4th TENACIOUS ZEUS

〰️ Best Bet placed — PAFITIS ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — HAMMURABI finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

PAFITIS W $1.70

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

HAMMURABI P $1.28

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
6. PAFITIS FAV TOP RATED	6	$1.70	$1.10	$2.49
4. HAMMURABI	3	$3.50	$1.28	$4.93
1. DYNASTY REWARD	4	$9.00	$1.95	$7.52
3. FORGING AHEAD	8	$12.00	$2.20	$11.08
5. KAL IT MAGIC	2	$23.00	$3.40	$15.69
7. TENACIOUS ZEUS	5	$21.00	$3.20	$17.14
8. MY LUNA	7	$34.00	$4.00	$19.92

Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	64%	84%	25*
2.00–2.49	43%	81%	47*
2.50–3.49	37%	67%	52*
3.50–4.99	31%	59%	29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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