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DARWIN

R1 3:00 PM R2 3:34 PM R3 4:14 PM R4 4:48 PM R5 5:25 PM

Race 3

4:14 PM
1200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st LAWS WARS (NZ)
2nd RIVERS OF BABYLON
3rd PLEASING SMILE
4th MERIMBULA 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — MERIMBULA didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
MERIMBULA W $2.35·P $1.34
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. MERIMBULA FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.35 $1.34 $3.69
3. SI SENORA 2 $3.80 $1.90 $5.09
5. PLEASING SMILE 7 $6.50 $2.70 $6.64
7. RIVERS OF BABYLON 5 $7.50 $3.10 $7.44
4. LAWS WARS (NZ) 1 $9.50 $3.60 $9.26
2. BEACHBARBECKONS 4 $10.00 $3.70 $9.91
6. EPIC JEWEL 6 $51.00 $11.00 $25.92
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 64% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 this race 43% 81% 47*
2.50–3.49 37% 67% 52*
3.50–4.99 31% 59% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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